Friday, 24 January 2025

The Solution to Zimbabwe's Fractured Opposition Politics Problem

The Zimbabwean people have suffered enough from a fractured opposition. The cycle of electioneering distracts Zimbabwe’s leadership from the urgent task of economic recovery, as they focus instead on factional power plays. It is time for us to put the past behind us and our differences aside and focus on the bigger picture. The stakes are high, and the next election will decide whether we continue on the path of decline or whether we take a bold step towards restoring democracy, dignity and economic freedom for the citizens of Zimbabwe. by Michelle Mudzviti

Coalition of Opposition
I would like to present a proposal for a practical and fair path forward, one that prioritizes the will of the people, creates space for all leaders to demonstrate their abilities, and ensures we select the strongest candidate to represent the unified coalition in the next election.

Given the urgency of the situation and the need to act decisively against a ruling party that is already organizing, the opposition must prioritize unity, strategic action, and effective mobilization to capitalize on the limited time available before the next election. 

1. Form a Unified and Clear Coalition

Instead of lengthy debates about who is fit to lead a united opposition in Zimbabwe at the moment, the opposition should work quickly to form a unified coalition with clear, actionable goals. The issue of leadership will be addressed at a later stage (see point 5 below). What is most crucial right now is for the leaders of the different factions to demonstrate a willingness to put their differences aside for the greater good. Agree on a unified vision for the country, where key issues (e.g. economic recovery, corruption, national security) are prioritized.

2. Launch a Coordinated National Campaign

The opposition must present a unified front in public communications, showcasing solidarity and readiness to take on the ruling party. This means coordinated messaging across all opposition factions and their media platforms to communicate that the opposition is united and serious about unseating the ruling party.

Avoid any public infighting or disputes that could create the impression of disorganization. Every leader should emphasize the importance of collective action for the good of the country.

Given the limited time, the opposition should leverage social media and digital platforms for rapid communication. A well-organized online campaign can quickly spread messages, mobilize support, and raise awareness about key issues.

3. Collaboration on Shared Goals

The need for electoral reforms in Zimbabwe is a critical issue that demands immediate attention. And it is one that affects all opposition parties alike. It does not help for us to continue to fight about who is most popular amongst the opposition candidates if they are all walking into a rigged election with a predetermined outcome. 

It also does not help if a significant chunk of the population remains disenfranchised, i.e citizens in the diaspora who are currently unable to vote.

Urgent reforms are needed to introduce better transparency, including an independent electoral commission, impartial election observers at all voting stations on behalf of the opposition, the diaspora vote, voter registration and digital platforms for results dissemination.

A representative "administrative" body will be established, with equal input from all factions, to oversee the coalition activities and mediate disputes.

4. Incentivize Party Leaders to Focus on the Bigger Picture | Offer Tangible Incentives for Unity

To ensure that leaders within the opposition are motivated to put aside personal ambitions and focus on the larger goal of defeating the ruling party, all factions will be included in the governance structure post-election. A clear and equitable reward system will ensure that party leaders' interests are met based on merit and contributions, rather than through backroom deals.

Key positions (e.g. president, vice president, ministers, parliamentary leadership roles) will be assigned proportionally to the coalition members based on their performance in the internal election (see point 5 below) and contributions to the movement.

5. Selecting the Presidential Candidate:

Hold a democratic and transparent internal election to choose a single, unified candidate to challenge the ruling party in the elections. This process should be inclusive, transparent, and based on merit. All factions will pledge to support the chosen candidate and work collaboratively toward victory in the national election. 

The selection will be based on clear, merit-based criteria, including:

  • -Proven leadership ability.
  • -Integrity and clean track record.
  • -Contribution to coalition goals.
  • -Mobilization efforts (how much support a faction builds).
  • -Contribution to voter education and advocacy.
  • -Ability to bring in international support or recognition.

The internal election will be in an agreed-upon format that is fair and transparent. To fast-track the process, this can be in the form of an online election. 

All potential candidates and their factions will have an opportunity to demonstrate their leadership through tangible contributions to the coalition’s success from the time of the coalition's inception (i.e now) until the internal election just before the next national election in 2028. 

This will also help to curb the problem of electoral candidates only showing up around election time to canvass for votes and doing nothing for the people in between. 

We are setting a new tone of proven leadership, not popularity contests based on political slogans and chants. 

The truth of the matter though is that the true leader of the people will emerge from the ranks of the different factions over the course of the next 3-4 years if people really put their leaders to the test.

The people are watching. They are counting on the different opposition leaders to rise above personal ambitions and act as the unified force that will bring change to the nation of Zimbabwe. 

The road ahead will not be easy, but with unity, transparency, and determination, we can achieve the change that the people of Zimbabwe so desperately need.

Zimbabweans Have a "Toxic" Relationship with Nelson Chamisa

Zimbabwe’s political landscape has long been characterized by fierce loyalty and intense criticism towards its leaders. Few figures embody this duality more than Nelson Chamisa, the de-facto leader of the Citizens Coalition for Change (CCC). Chamisa, often viewed as the face of Zimbabwe’s opposition, has inspired both adoration and resentment, creating a polarizing dynamic that reflects deeper issues within the country’s political culture. By Michelle Mudzviti

A Symbol of Hope and Change

Chamisa
For many Zimbabweans, Nelson Chamisa represents a beacon of hope in a country that has endured decades of economic decline, political repression, and social upheaval. His youthful energy, eloquence, and promises of a brighter future have made him a rallying point for those yearning for change. Chamisa’s ability to connect with the younger generation, which makes up a significant portion of the electorate, has further cemented his status as a symbol of renewal.

However, this admiration often borders on blind loyalty. Many of Chamisa’s supporters see him not just as a political leader but as a messianic figure, capable of single-handedly rescuing the nation from its myriad challenges. This almost fanatical devotion creates an environment where criticism of Chamisa is seen as betrayal, stifling constructive debate about his leadership style and policy propositions.

This kind of uncritical support often prevents honest assessment of his policies, campaign strategies, and decision-making processes. For instance, discussions about the CCC's lack of a detailed manifesto or questions about Chamisa’s ability to navigate Zimbabwe’s complex political terrain are frequently dismissed or met with hostility. The tendency to idolize Chamisa means that even well-meaning critiques from within his support base are drowned out by a chorus of defensiveness and counterattacks. This environment not only hinders Chamisa’s growth as a leader but also weakens the opposition’s ability to present itself as a credible alternative to ZANU-PF.

The Flip Side: Intense Criticism

On the other hand, Chamisa has faced significant backlash, particularly from those who accuse him of being ineffective or overly ambitious. Critics point to his perceived lack of a clear, actionable plan to address Zimbabwe’s deep-seated problems. Others argue that his leadership of the opposition has been marked by infighting, a lack of strategy, and failure to build a robust organizational structure capable of challenging ZANU-PF’s entrenched dominance.

This criticism often veers into toxicity, with some detractors attacking not just Chamisa’s policies but also his character and personal life. The political discourse surrounding Chamisa is frequently reduced to ad hominem attacks, reflecting the broader culture of polarization in Zimbabwean politics.

Root Causes of the Toxicity

The toxic relationship Zimbabweans have with Chamisa can be traced back to several factors:

Desperation for Change: Decades of misrule under ZANU-PF have left Zimbabweans desperate for a saviour. This desperation places unrealistic expectations on Chamisa, setting the stage for inevitable disappointment when those expectations are not met.

Polarized Political Culture: Zimbabwean politics has long been characterized by a winner-takes-all mentality, leaving little room for compromise or dialogue. This culture fosters hostility and divisiveness, with Chamisa often at the centre.

Lack of Political Education: Many Zimbabweans engage with politics emotionally rather than critically, leading to blind loyalty or unwarranted vilification.

A Year of Silence and a Return to Politics

In January 2024, Chamisa left the CCC and stepped back from opposition politics, marking a surprising turn in his career. Over the past year, he has been largely inactive, refraining from making public statements or challenging the current regime, even as ZANU-PF and President Emmerson Mnangagwa pushed forward plans to extend Mnangagwa’s term to 2030. Chamisa’s silence during this critical period left many Zimbabweans questioning his commitment to the cause of democratic change.

Now, Chamisa has returned to the political arena, teasing plans to launch a new political party following the collapse of the CCC due to internal infighting. Despite his prolonged absence and the lack of a clear explanation for his previous inactivity, many Zimbabweans appear ready to rally behind him once again. This unwavering loyalty persists even in the absence of accountability or a concrete plan of action from Chamisa, underscoring the emotional rather than critical nature of much of his support base.

The Role of Social Media

Social media platforms have amplified this toxic relationship, providing a space where both supporters and critics can express their views—often in extreme terms. Twitter, Facebook, and WhatsApp groups are filled with posts either lionizing Chamisa or vilifying him. This digital battleground has turned political discourse into a zero-sum game, where nuanced discussions are rare, and echo chambers dominate.

The Way Forward

To break this cycle of toxicity, Zimbabweans must embrace a more mature political culture. This involves:

Holding Leaders Accountable: Supporters of Chamisa must recognize that constructive criticism is not betrayal but a necessary component of effective leadership. Leaders, in turn, must openly communicate their plans, provide clear strategies, and accept responsibility for their shortcomings.

Combating Polarization: Efforts should be made to reduce the "us versus them" mentality that dominates political discourse. Encouraging empathy and understanding across political divides can foster a more cohesive national identity.

Fostering Inclusive Dialogue: Both supporters and critics should engage in meaningful conversations that prioritize the nation’s needs over partisan loyalties. This includes creating spaces for open debate, where diverse perspectives can coexist without fear of retribution or dismissal.

You can read the full article here: Substack Mirror

Nelson Chamisa’s leadership will undoubtedly continue to shape Zimbabwe’s political trajectory. Whether he becomes a unifying figure or remains a polarizing one depends as much on his actions as on how Zimbabweans choose to engage with his leadership. By moving beyond the toxic dynamics of blind loyalty and baseless criticism, the nation can chart a path toward a more constructive and hopeful future.

Lessons from the Sengezo Tshabangu Saga:

Mnangagwa and his poodle - Tshabangu

Protecting Zimbabwe’s Opposition from Sabotage;

by Michelle Mudzviti

The recent saga involving Sengezo Tshabangu’s hijacking of the Citizens Coalition for Change (CCC) serves as a stark reminder of the vulnerabilities that Zimbabwe’s opposition parties face. Tshabangu, an individual with questionable authority, managed to destabilize the CCC by recalling several elected officials, causing widespread confusion and frustration among supporters. More alarmingly, his actions appeared to align closely with the interests of ZANU-PF, raising questions about state-sponsored interference in opposition politics. 

This incident has highlighted the urgent need for the CCC and other opposition parties to fortify themselves against similar disruptions in the future. To ensure a robust and sustainable democratic movement, it is crucial to understand how this situation unfolded and what measures can be taken to prevent a recurrence.

How the Hijacking Happened

1. Lack of Institutionalization

The CCC’s informal structure has been both its strength and its weakness. Operating as a movement rather than a formal political party allowed it to grow rapidly and galvanize support. However, this lack of formalization created a vulnerability. Without a constitution, clear leadership roles, and codified processes, the party was susceptible to infiltration and manipulation. The absence of a solid framework allowed unauthorized individuals to claim authority or act as spokespersons without clear accountability. This enabled Tshabangu to claim authority and act unilaterally, with little room for immediate rebuttal.

2. Leadership Transitions and Personality Politics

The departure of Nelson Chamisa from the CCC added to the instability within the party. Chamisa’s leadership had been a unifying force, and his absence created a vacuum that individuals like Tshabangu could exploit. Zimbabwe’s political culture, which often centers around strong personalities rather than ideologies or institutional frameworks, exacerbated the situation. This over-reliance on individual leaders rather than collective governance left the CCC vulnerable to manipulation and factionalism. Chamisa’s exit highlighted the risks of building movements around personalities instead of robust ideological foundations and institutional integrity.

3. State-Sponsored Sabotage

The ZANU-PF regime has a long history of undermining opposition movements through infiltration, propaganda, and creating parallel structures. Tshabangu’s actions - including the recalling of CCC MPs and councilors - bear the hallmarks of a coordinated effort to destabilize the party from within. Zimbabwe’s judiciary and the Zimbabwe Electoral Commission (ZEC), both widely regarded as aligned with ZANU-PF, lent credibility to Tshabangu’s claims, further complicating the CCC’s efforts to counter his maneuvers.

4. Weak Electoral and Legal Frameworks

The political and legal environment in Zimbabwe heavily favors ZANU-PF. Institutions like the ZEC and the judiciary have often been accused of bias, making it difficult for opposition parties to navigate challenges legally. Tshabangu’s ability to recall officials without facing significant legal obstacles underscores the systemic hurdles the CCC faces in seeking redress.

5. Internal Weaknesses

While external factors played a significant role, the CCC’s internal weaknesses cannot be ignored. The CCC leadership may have underestimated the need for robust internal controls and the threat of internal betrayal.

The absence of comprehensive vetting processes and internal security measures allowed Tshabangu to exploit the party’s vulnerabilities. Additionally, a lack of proactive crisis management mechanisms left the party scrambling to respond to his actions.

How to Prevent a Recurrence

1. Formalize Party Structures

To safeguard its future, the CCC must transition from being a movement to a formal political party with a constitution, clearly defined leadership roles, and transparent decision-making processes. Clear membership protocols and a registry will make it harder for unauthorized individuals to claim leadership roles.

2. Decentralising Leadership

Over-centralized leadership creates vulnerabilities by placing too much power and responsibility in the hands of a few individuals. Implement systems where decisions are made collaboratively by leadership councils, reducing the risk of unilateral actions by any one leader. This ensures that the party remains functional and responsive, even in the absence of top leaders. Empower provincial and district-level leaders to reduce over-reliance on a single individual, thereby making the party less vulnerable to targeted manipulation. 

Decentralizing leadership will also create a buffer against targeted attacks, as infiltrators will find it harder to destabilize a party with multiple centres of influence.

3. Build Alliances

Unity among opposition forces is crucial to countering ZANU-PF’s divide-and-rule tactics. A united opposition is harder to infiltrate and destabilize. The CCC should foster a culture of collaboration to present a unified front against ZANU-PF’s tactics. They should consider forming coalitions with other opposition parties and civil society organizations, instead of only seeking to consolidate power and be known as the leaders of opposition politics in Zimbabwe.

You can read the full article here: Substack Mirror Article

The Sengezo Tshabangu saga is a sobering reminder of the challenges that Zimbabwe’s opposition faces in a hostile political environment. However, it also provides an opportunity for reflection and growth. The path to a democratic Zimbabwe is fraught with challenges, but with strategic planning and unwavering commitment, the opposition can protect itself from future sabotage and continue to fight for meaningful change.